Entries by Ross Dawson

Launch of 2014 Crunch Time report: 14 domains hitting the crunch and responses

At the end of each year we share some thoughts about current trends and what to expect next year and beyond. Some of our past frameworks include Trend Blend 2007+, Trend Blend 2008+, Map of the Decade: 2010s, Zeitgeist 2011, 12 Themes for 2012, and 2013 – Life Next Year and Beyond: Appearing and Disappearing. […]

Timeframes for the future of work: trends and uncertainties in this decade and beyond

I recently ran an internal workshop on the future of work for a large company. In the next couple of years it will shift its headquarters into a new building and adopt Activity Based Working across the organization. The key executives understand that in their planning they need to engage with the broader issues of […]

Why predictions are dangerous and organizations must be well networked

Today’s BOSS magazine in the Australian Financial Review includes a feature on my work. The article focuses on my thoughts on the value of predictions. I’ve written before about why predictions usually have negative value, as an important way of framing how we think about the future. I am quoted in the article:

Not just Bitcoin: How will multiple digital currencies compete, succeed, and fail?

Bitcoin surpassing a valuation of $1,000 yesterday is a real landmark, giving the currency a market capitalization of almost $12 billion and 75-fold growth in value this year. However Bitcoin is not the only digital currency, simply the most prominent. As Bitcoin’s value has soared, partly driven by a positive response from Senate committees last […]

Latest global comparison of household Internet speeds

The speed at which we can access the internet is important. Very important. I’ve written before on the evidence that internet bandwidth is a key driver of economic growth and online participation, and there is plenty of other research to point to its role in social value creation. A decent source of data on internet […]

The future of human endeavor: humans and computers together far exceed the capabilities of either apart

In my keynotes I often reference 1997 as the year that a chess grandmaster was first beaten by a computer, with Deep Blue outplaying Garry Kasparov. Before that happened many believed that chess was the domain of ingenuity, imagination, and human insight that computers could never match. Yet brute processing power plus some improved algorithms […]

Could online lobbying be the future of government?

Last week I spoke on the potential of crowdsourcing at the EngageTech conference, an event focusing on how government can best use technology to engage with community and citizens. One of the very interesting conversations that emerged at the event was on how interested and informed citizens are on government decisions. It’s a truism that […]

The case for the death of cash by the hand of digital currencies

This morning I gave the opening keynote at the ATM and Branch Automation Seminar run by Payments Consulting Network. In my keynote I spoke about the broader trends in technology, society, and business, and then looked at some of the uncertainties impacting ATMs and branches. Clearly one of the most important is the future of […]

Why your networks and collaboration are at the heart of the value you create

I was recently interviewed for an extended article Networked Business: The wealth in your connections written by Nick Saalfeld for the Microsoft Talking Business series. Here are some excerpts from the article, which provide a neat summary of some of my thinking on the space. It’s a fallacy to think of networking as a sales […]

“Shoezam” app mimics Shazam to image, identify, and replicate shoes on the street

This morning I attended the Innovation Bay breakfast on Where to for retail now?. It was a fascinating discussion, which was definitely useful as I develop my forthcoming Future of Retail framework. (Still working on it, I don’t know when it will be ready for the public, more later.) Michael Fox, founder of the highly […]