There is massive uncertainty on the future impact of artificial intelligence. Among those who we can consider the ‘experts’ – the most qualified on the planet to judge – there are deep disagreements on the potential for general artificial intelligence, the evolution of work, whether AI is an existential threat to humanity, and almost every […]
Last week I gave a keynote on The Future of Associations at the annual Board of Directors Retreat for one of the world’s largest professional associations, held in the delightful venue of Panama City. Having been involved in the events, thought leadership initiatives and awards of a wide variety of associations over the years, I […]
I have been deeply interested in Zen since my late teens. When I moved to Japan in my late 20s, ultimately spending 3 ½ years there, the reasons included my fascination with Zen. Soon after I arrived in Tokyo I found a Zen master, Nishijima-Sensei, who held weekly meditation sessions followed by lectures in English […]
Over the years I have created a lot of content – books, reports, visual frameworks and far more – that has been very widely seen. From all this undoubtedly the one piece that has been the most visible globally is my Newspaper Extinction Timeline launched in October 2010, that predicted for each country in which […]
In October 2010 I launched the now-infamous Newspaper Extinction Timeline, shown below. It launched an immediate and enduring conversation, with the timeline discussed in newspapers and publications in over 30 countries in the first week after its launch. Over the years it has attracted some support, plenty of criticism, and hundreds of citations, including from […]
Mapping the decline of news-on-paper [Latest update: December 15, 2017]The Newspaper Extinction Timeline, released in 2010, predicted that news-on-paper would become “insignificant” in the U.S. Read the Review of the Newspaper Extinction Timelinefor full context. This page compiles some of the most recent available data on the state of news-on-paper in the U.S. Note that there are […]
I recently tweeted: Regarding Bitcoin: When I was in financial markets I learned about the very plausible “perverse market theory” – the market acts to hurt the most people the most – draws the suckers in, then wipes them out, gives them hope, then tramples on them. Many are going to get hurt. — Ross […]
The higher the degree of uncertainty, the greater the value of using scenarios. One of the deepest uncertainties today is the future shape of the news industry, which certainly faces deep challenges from both producer and consumer perspectives. However it is feasible that the news industry can find its way to both strength both financially […]
The Commonwealth Bank Jobs and Skills of the Future Report I wrote recently dug into how work and jobs are changing and what skills will be required. These shifts in work mean it is crystal clear that education must also change. Below is an excerpt from the report giving a snapshot of some of the […]
Last week I ran a three-day strategy workshop in Dubai for a group of senior executives who are marked as the next generation of leaders in a global professional services firm. The heart of the workshop used scenario thinking to broaden their perspectives on change and strategic opportunity in their industry. We also wanted to […]
