I believe the media industry has a prosperous future. Today at the fabulous humAIn conference by Unmade I made that case in the concluding “debAIt”, arguing strongly against the proposition “AI is news media’s extinction level event”. What this debate really boils down to is the business models for news media.
The primary application of my Humans + AI work over the last 18 months has been in strategic decision-making, working with boards and executive teams to augment their decision-making processes and outcomes using generative AI. The other major Humans + AI application I’ve been working on is in institutional investment decision-making. I am currently shifting […]
Jorge Luis Borges has been one of my favorite authors since my teens. Over the last couple of years I have often thought of one of his masterpieces, Pierre Menard, Author of The Quixote, written in 1939, which turns out to be extremely relevant to the age of AI. The story recounts how a contemporary […]
Arguably the entire finance industry can be framed as a massive inter-related array of decisions, by both clients and financial insttutions. In this world AI wil be transformative, in most cases not by supplanting humans in the decision-making process, but in playing a role in ‘Humans + AI’ decision-making. I was recently interviewed for the […]
Since well before the advent of Generative AI, machine learning models exceeded human forecasting performance across a whole range of specific domains. Within a bounded domain with sufficient data, machine learning is often extremely good at predicting outcomes. However, machine learning can only work within defined domains where there is sufficient data. In most real […]
Among the most important recent innovations for improving the value and reliability of Large Language Models are Chain-of-Thought and its derivatives including Tree-of-Thought and Graph-of-Thought. These structures are also extremely valuable in designing effective Humans + AI workflows for better thinking. In this article I’ll provide a high-level view of Chain-of-Thought and then look at […]
Artifact, the news discovery app launched a year ago by the founders of Instagram, has just announced it is shutting down, saying “the market opportunity isn’t big enough to warrant continued investment in this way.” As pointed out in TechCrunch, Artifact “hadn’t quite defined what it wanted to be”, iterating from its initial personalized news discovery […]
Visual frameworks are invaluable to clarify the relationships between ideas. Among the many visual frameworks I have created are a number of visual representations of my business models, both to communicate effectively and provide greater clarify for myself. I am now entering a new phase of my work and ventures built over the last 18 […]
I have been helping clients implement scenario planning for a quarter century, since 1998, in a very wide variety of contexts. Therea are situations where scenario planning is more and less applicable. Especially pertinent today, as I have noted: The greater the uncertainty, the greater the value of scenario planning. There are many factors that […]
The advent of next-generation AI has brought into sharp focus one of the biggest divides of all: our perception of humanity’s place in the Universe. I endlessly read people arguing that humans will be to AI as animals or insects are to humans. They envision a future where AI’s relentless advancement transcends every faculty we […]
