Global population growth reached its peak of 2.09% in 1968 and has steadily declined since then to its current levels of 1.08%. The United Nations forecasts that in 2050 the growth rate will have slowed further to around 0.3% to give a global population of 9.7 billion, however its 80% probability range of forecasts includes […]
The future of work is not about AI replacing humans. It is about designing work so that machines and humans are complementary, not substitutes. As described in my Humans in the Future of Work framework, there are a number of uniquely human capabilities that can be brought together in a wealth of roles that transcend […]
Ten years ago I released my map of the 2010s, consisting of 14 “ExaTrends” (Exa being the cube of Mega). Click through on the images for the full size pdf. The complete text describing the ExaTrends on pdf is also on the post below the images. What are your thoughts on how well I did […]
This year has seen massive advances in article writing by AI. The Open AI Institute released its GPT-2 article generator last month after earlier in the year saying it was too dangerously powerful to release to the public. You can try it with small text seeds here.
Long-time followers of this blog will be familiar with the beautiful and insightful work of Richard Watson, including his Periodic Table of Disruptive Technologies and Innovation and Timeline of Emerging Science and Technology (both created with the Imperial TechForesight group at Imperial College London), as well as a number of frameworks Richard and I have […]
Healthcare will be at the center of our future, as populations age, expectations for quality of life rise, and a wave of incredible new medical technologies transform the industry. Yet a central issue is the efficacy of healthcare amid rising costs, constrained governments, and deeply entrenched inefficiencies.
Augmented reality indubitably has the potential to transform our interface with technology and information. Virtual reality can potentially take us into extraordinary realms, but always away from our everyday reality. Augmented reality (AR) can and will be woven into our everyday. It is inevitable that AR will, in time, be a major way for us […]
Last week I di a keynote on behalf of a major professional services firm to a group of senior public sector executives. The topic was The Future of Government, so I provided a high-level frame on the forces dramatically shifting the role of government, and the opportunities to reshape government to transcend the government-citizen divide […]
An article on the future of retirement in the most recent Good Weekend magazine, Rethinking the future, drew extensively on an interview with me. Below are some excerpts from the article.
Below is Chapter 3 from my book Getting Results From Crowds 2nd Edition, provided as a resource for those looking at using crowdsourcing in their organization or tasked with building an internal business case. The business value of using crowds Through history, companies have been limited in what they can achieve through the scope of […]
